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The most likely conclusion, based on the available data, strongly points toward outcome No. The Patriots were unlikely to have tampered with the footballs, beyond reasonable doubt.It’s unclear whether there was or was not tampering.environmental factors cannot explain the measurements) The Patriots were likely to have tampered with the footballs, beyond reasonable doubt (i.e.

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While the data was not collected in a controlled scientific experiment, there was enough data collected that we can arrive at one of three general conclusions: The “Deflate Gate” (or Deflategate) scientific analysis was conducted to answer a simple question: Were the halftime measurements of the Patriot footballs below what is expected based on environmental factors? (In the NFL, each team prepares and uses its own set of balls used for offensive play, meaning the Colts and Patriots prepared and played with separate balls during the 2015 AFC Championship Game.) This page serves as a collection of those findings, with many thanks to the readers who contributed.

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John Leonard in his Sports Illustrated essay on Deflategate. The following analysis has been referenced in multiple places, most notably by Dr.

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